Friday, August 29, 2008

gg, McCain

McCain must be getting desperate. Sarah Palin? Seriously? I bet I can tell what he's thinking though. Just for fun, let's talk about it in terms of fantasy sports, since my brain is still wired to think that way from yesterday.

I was almost certain that Obama would not choose Clinton as his running mate. He wants someone who will help anchor his lead in the polls, someone to take votes away from McCain. He doesn't need to appease Clinton supporters when they are going to end up voting for him anyway. If he drafted Jonathan Papelbon, he does not need to need to draft Francisco Rodríguez in the next round. He's going to take a player from a position who is going to help him in other statistical categories. So Obama chose Biden, an old white man. Don't take this the wrong way; I'm not saying that this is the reason, I'm saying it's a reason.

McCain is trying the same thing. There's the hope to convert some of the Clinton voters and maybe steal some of the thunder from Obama's message of change by doing something completely unexpected of the GOP. However, because he's behind, he's using another fantasy concept: upside. This means passing up more established and competent players/candidates for a rookie that has a high ceiling of return. In the long run, you do better by sticking with the solid veteran, but if you're behind, you might need to take a gamble. That gamble might pay off or it might totally blow up in your face. I don't think McCain is that far behind to justify taking this risk. How could this plan backfire, as it most likely will? It might have to do with the fact that not only is Palin a rookie, she's never played in anything past Little League.

"As for that VP talk all the time, I’ll tell you, I still can’t answer that question until somebody answers for me what is it exactly that the VP does every day?"
-Sarah Palin

No comments: